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Updated 28 Aug 2026 · 12:47 UTC

ELECTION NIGHT

Election Night 2026

Race ratings, poll closing times, and path-to-majority tracking for the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.

Census Bureau ACS18 records
66
DAYS
:
11
HRS
:
12
MIN
:
49
SEC

Balance of Power

Pre-Election
51 to control47DEM53GOP

U.S. Senate

218 to control215DEM220GOP

U.S. House

Path to Majority

Senate · 33 seats at stake

Dems Need

4

net gains for 51

GOP Hold

0

already at majority

Class II senators (elected 2020). Democrats defending 12, Republicans defending 21.

House · All 435 seats

Dems Need

3

net gains for 218

GOP Hold

0

already at majority

All 435 House seats. Every House seat is contested.

Key Races to Watch

18 races
Chamber
Rating

Senate

Georgia

Toss-up
Jon OssoffINC
TBD
Polls close: 7:00 PM ETVoting rights

Senate

Arizona

Toss-up
Mark KellyINC
TBD
Polls close: 9:00 PM ETBorder security

Senate

North Carolina

Toss-up
TBD
TBD
Polls close: 7:30 PM ETEducation

Senate

Michigan

Lean D
Gary PetersINC
TBD
Polls close: 8:00 PM ETManufacturing

Senate

Texas

Lean R
TBD
TBD
Polls close: 8:00 PM ETBorder security

Senate

Iowa

Lean R
TBD
Joni ErnstINC
Polls close: 9:00 PM ETAgriculture

Senate

Maine

Lean D
TBD
TBD
Polls close: 8:00 PM ETHealthcare

Senate

Colorado

Likely D
John HickenlooperINC
TBD
Polls close: 9:00 PM ETCost of living

House

California CD-22

Toss-up
TBD
David ValadaoINC
Polls close: 11:00 PM ETAgriculture

House

New York CD-17

Toss-up
TBD
Mike LawlerINC
Polls close: 9:00 PM ETCost of living

House

Pennsylvania CD-7

Toss-up
Susan WildINC
TBD
Polls close: 8:00 PM ETEconomy

House

Michigan CD-7

Lean R
TBD
TBDINC
Polls close: 8:00 PM ETAuto industry

House

Virginia CD-7

Lean R
TBD
TBDINC
Polls close: 7:00 PM ETSuburban issues

House

Ohio CD-1

Lean R
TBD
TBDINC
Polls close: 7:30 PM ETEconomy

House

Nebraska CD-2

Toss-up
TBD
Don BaconINC
Polls close: 9:00 PM ETMilitary

Governor

Florida

Lean R
TBD
TBD
Polls close: 8:00 PM ETInsurance costs

Governor

Pennsylvania

Toss-up
TBD
TBD
Polls close: 8:00 PM ETEconomy

Governor

Ohio

Lean R
TBD
TBD
Polls close: 7:30 PM ETManufacturing

Poll Closing Timeline

All times Eastern. Some states span two time zones; partial closings noted.

6:00 PM ET

IN (most)KY (most)

7:00 PM ET

GAINKYSCVAVT

7:30 PM ET

NCOHWV

8:00 PM ET

ALCTDEDCFLILKSMEMDMAMIMOMSNHNJOKPARISDTNTX

8:30 PM ET

AR

9:00 PM ET

AZCOLAMNNENMNYWIWY

10:00 PM ET

IAMTNVUT

11:00 PM ET

CAIDORWA

12:00 AM ET

AK

1:00 AM ET

HI

Historical Context

Past Midterms

The president's party has lost House seats in all but two midterms since WWII. Here is how recent midterms played out.

2022

Biden (D) · 42% approval

46.8% turnout

House

R+9

Senate

D+1

Gov

D+2

Red ripple instead of expected red wave. Democrats held Senate and limited House losses.

2018

Trump (R) · 40% approval

49.4% turnout

House

D+40

Senate

R+2

Gov

D+7

Blue wave in the House. Democrats gained 40 seats and flipped the chamber.

2014

Obama (D) · 43% approval

36.7% turnout

House

R+13

Senate

R+9

Gov

R+2

Republicans gained Senate majority and expanded House majority.

2010

Obama (D) · 45% approval

41.0% turnout

House

R+63

Senate

R+6

Gov

R+6

Tea Party wave. Largest House seat swing since 1948.

2006

Bush (R) · 37% approval

40.4% turnout

House

D+31

Senate

D+6

Gov

D+6

Democrats swept both chambers amid Iraq War opposition.

Average Midterm House Loss (President's Party)

-26 seats

Average since 1946. Actual results vary with approval, economy, and candidate quality.

Data Sources · Cook Political Report · Sabato's Crystal Ball · FiveThirtyEight · AP

Pre-election projections only. Ratings and candidates subject to change. Not affiliated with any campaign or party.

Nonpartisan · independent · public-domain APIs only

© 2026 · 21+ sources